Match Info

USL League One

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.5	2.88
	2.09	4.2	2.83	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.33	3.72	2.41	Watch
	2.18	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
42.3%

Draw
24.9%

Boise
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.5%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Charlotte Independence - Boise Predictions

Users Predictions: Charlotte Independence will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 24. Amaya J. 8. Jaime C. 11. Ortiz V. 10. Bakero J. 16. Lyons M. 9. Manzinga C.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 5. Ndiaye M. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 14. Moon N. 66. Mayaka P. 8. Gasso D. 7. Bodily B. (C) 10. Kostyshyn D. 9. Luan Brito 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
47. Alvarez L. 44. Arango M. 12. Burton J. (G) 26. Marou S. 19. Martinez E. 21. Nare T. 45. Pierce G. 7. Saydee P.	6. Adams C. 17. Hanson J. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 3. Oyler K. 2. Ricketts J. 33. Sargis H. 23. Yehya O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ortiz V. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
59', Kliewer J. 🟨,
62', Gasso D. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
63', Luan Brito ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
63', Kostyshyn D. ↓, Oyler K. ↑,
66', Moon N. 🟨,
67', Bakero J. ↓, Saydee P. ↑,
67', Manzinga C. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
71', Moon N. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
76', Bodily B. 🟨,
79', Amaya J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Alvarez L. ⚽, Marou S. (A),
85', Moshobane T. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,
87', Amaya J. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
90+2', Lyons M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Charlotte Ind has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boise is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
02.05.26	Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Charlotte - Charlotte Independence	6:0 ✺
USL League One
03.04.26	New York Cosmos - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLLL
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
02.05.26	Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Las Vegas Lights - Boise	1:1 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Boise - Westchester SC	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	AV Alta - Boise	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Boise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWTT

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