Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Charlotte Independence		Northern Colorado Hailstorm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.75
	3.8	3.65	1.78
	3.75	3.79	1.81
	3.82	3.81	1.85	Watch
	3.76	3.68	1.78	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)	3.7 ↓ (3.71)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
24.2%

Draw
24.7%

Northern Colorado Hailstorm
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

24.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

23.9%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Northern Colorado Hailstorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Colorado Hailstorm than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Charlotte Independence - Northern Colorado Hailstorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 3. Roberts H. 2. Ngah F. 7. Djedje R. 6. Ciss O. 21. Corea D. 27. Ndiaye B. 8. Johnson J. 29. Obregon J.	1. Delgado E. (G) 27. Rendon B. 4. Garcia D. 5. Fenwick J. 2. Evans B. (C) 15. Langlois P. 6. Dietrich J. 19. King B. 34. Robles D. 30. Martinez I. 20. Hoard E.
Substitutes
48. Bonus I. 5. Dutey S. 19. Gray N. 10. Ibarra M. 28. Levy M. (G) 11. Mbuyu T. 77. Obara C. 18. Pierre N. 13. Sorenson A.	47. Clarke M. 11. Hernandez M. 23. Keegan J. 8. Kwakwa E. 10. Parra I. 12. Shealy R. (G) 14. Yamazaki H.
Coaches
Jeffries M.	Zayed E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Rendon B. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Corea D. ⚽, Ngah F. (A),
30', Ngah F. 🟨,
38', Ciss O. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Langlois P. ⚽,
45+3', Hoard E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Evans B. 🟨,
72', Dietrich J. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
74', Ndiaye B. ↓, Mbuyu T. ↑,
81', Hernandez M. 🟨,
86', Ngah F. ↓, Sorenson A. ↑,
86', Johnson J. ↓, Ibarra M. ↑,
86', Roberts H. ↓, Obara C. ↑,
87', King B. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
87', Delgado E. ↓, Shealy R. ↑,
90+2', Mbuyu T. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Garcia D. ⚽,
90+12', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 2.

Charlotte Independence is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Northern Colorado is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Northern Colorado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Northern Colorado have a series of home games.

In this match Northern Colorado is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Charlotte Independence won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.9:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlotte Independence won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
04.10.24	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.09.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
USL League One
07.09.24	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLT
- Northern Colorado Hailstorm
USL League One
05.10.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - South Georgia Tormenta	4:0 ✺
02.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.09.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Forward Madison	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
21.09.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Union Omaha	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
06.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	0:1
USL Cup
25.05.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	3:2 penalties
USL League One
03.09.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	4:2
29.07.23	Charlotte Independence - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	4:1
04.07.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	3:2
17.07.22	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	3:1
18.05.22	Charlotte Independence - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:2

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