Match Info

USL League One

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Tormenta Stadium (Statesboro, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	South Georgia Tormenta		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.45
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	2.35	3.44	2.72
	2.35	3.62	2.75	Watch
	2.27	3.44	2.64	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.63 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Georgia Tormenta
39.4%

Draw
26.1%

Charlotte Independence
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Georgia Tormenta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pack A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 4. Nare T. 26. Kasanzu J. 3. Gabriel Alves 16. Tunbridge M. 22. Doyle C. (C) 8. Gabriel Cabral 9. Vivas S. 28. Walker A. 11. Nyandjo J.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 13. Sorenson A. 15. Jauregui R. 11. Ndiaye B. 6. Ciss O. 9. Bakero J. 99. Chaney C. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
19. Bazini Y. 71. Bwana H. 14. Drey A. 29. Gottlieb B. 10. Gray T. 31. Healy L. 58. Jimenez O. 13. Jones S. (G) 72. O'Brien F.	47. Arango M. 10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 16. Mbuyu T. 8. Moreno J. 2. Ngah F. 3. Ousmanou P. 77. Pedro Fonseca 12. Romig A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Chaney C. (Pen),
45+1', Kasanzu J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Romero J. 🟨,
70', Nyandjo J. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
71', Bakero J. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
71', Marou S. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
72', Sorenson A. 🟨,
83', Tunbridge M. ↓, Bwana H. ↑,
83', Sorenson A. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
84', Moreno J. 🟨,
86', Walker A. ↓, Healy L. ↑,
90+1', Chaney C. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
90+1', Jauregui R. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Ngah F. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 1.

Recent form of Tormenta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Charlotte Ind is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tormenta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tormenta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Georgia Tormenta
USL Cup
31.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Spokane Velocity	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
USL League One
20.04.25	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Charlotte Independence
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
24.05.25	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Westchester SC - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
03.05.25	Texoma - Charlotte Independence	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
20.04.25	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2
21.09.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	3:3
USL Cup
20.07.24	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 penalties
USL League One
01.06.24	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1
USL Cup
27.04.24	South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence	1:2 penalties
USL League One
14.10.23	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	1:1
12.08.23	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2

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