Match Info

USL League One

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlotte Independence		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.75
	1.61	3.38	3.91
	1.81	3.7	4.08	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.73	3.42	4.34	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	3.91 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
50.8%

Draw
26.2%

Forward Madison
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+1%)

Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 24. Amaya J. 8. Jaime C. 7. Saydee P. 19. Martinez E. 47. Alvarez L. 9. Manzinga C.	1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 5. Shannon J. 20. Carmichael K. 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 12. Torres R. 16. Castro J. 17. Gebhard D. (C) 14. Gyamfi S.
Substitutes
10. Bakero J. 12. Burton J. (G) 16. Lyons M. 26. Marou S. 21. Nare T. 39. Neeley J. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V.	7. Bolma J. 30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C. 18. Romanshyn K. 8. Segbers M. 33. Toure K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gyamfi S. ⚽, Munjoma E. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Manzinga C. ⚽, Saydee P. (A),
36', 🟨,
38', Torres R. 🟨,
42', Munjoma E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Martinez E. ↓, Bakero J. ↑,
62', Saydee P. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
70', Kanyane G. ↓, Bolma J. ↑,
70', Carmichael R. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
70', Castro J. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
75', Manzinga C. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
80', Skinner J. 🟨,
84', Gebhard D. ↓, Segbers M. ↑,
84', Munjoma E. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Lyons M. ⚽,
90+1', Alvarez L. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
90+1', Jaime C. ↓, Nare T. ↑,
90+3', Torres R. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 0.

Charlotte Ind is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Forward Madison has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of away games.

In this match, Charlotte Ind is considered a favorite.

We predict that Charlotte Ind will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL Cup
15.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 penalties ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Corpus Christi - Charlotte Independence	1:3 ✺
06.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Boise	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Fort Wayne - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWWTW
- Forward Madison
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	AV Alta - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sarasota Paradise - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
USL League One
19.04.26	New York Cosmos - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.07.25	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1
11.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:1
02.11.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:0
04.10.24	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	2:4
USL Cup
11.09.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:1
USL League One
14.08.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	0:0
USL Cup
11.05.24	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:2

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