Match Info

USL League One

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Forward Madison		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.60	2.90
	1.98	3.5	2.95
	2.01	3.76	2.99
	2.04	3.96	3.07	Watch
	1.97	3.65	2.9
	1.99	3.74	3.02	Watch
	1.99	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.1)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	2.97 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
45.2%

Draw
24.5%

Charlotte Independence
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

26.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Charlotte Independence aligns with the current prediction.

Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 20. Carmichael K. (C) 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K. 23. Munjoma E. 4. McCamy C. 12. Torres R. 3. Edwards A. 9. Carmichael R. 14. Gyamfi S. 7. Bolma J.	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 14. Manin R. 4. Coulibaly S. 3. Skinner J. 24. Amaya J. 8. Jaime C. 22. Riascos K. 10. Bakero J. 11. Ortiz V. 26. Marou S.
Substitutes
57. Augee B. 99. Flores K. (G) 24. Forbes J. 6. Kanyane G. 19. Manske T. (G) 11. Ngoubou C. 8. Segbers M.	6. Fuchs J. 16. Lyons M. 9. Manzinga C. 19. Martinez E. 21. Nare T. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)
Coaches
Glaeser M.	Jeffries M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Skinner J. ⚽, Manin R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Carmichael R. ⚽, Gyamfi S. (A),
65', Edwards A. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
65', Gyamfi S. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
67', Ngoubou C. 🟨,
67', Glaeser M. 🟨,
73', Bakero J. ↓, Manzinga C. ↑,
73', Ortiz V. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
80', McCamy C. ↓, Augee B. ↑,
82', Amaya J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
82', Toure K. 🟨,
88', Jaime C. ↓, Fuchs J. ↑,
88', Marou S. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
90+1', Munjoma E. 🟨,
90+3', Manzinga C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of home games.

Forward Madison might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL League One
16.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Forward Madison - Westchester SC	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWW
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
15.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Sarasota Paradise	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
12.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	2:4 ✺
USL League One
08.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Charlotte Independence - Richmond Kickers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
23.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	3:1
16.07.25	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1
11.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:1
02.11.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:0
04.10.24	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	2:4
USL Cup
11.09.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	2:1
USL League One
14.08.24	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	0:0

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