The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 44.7%
Draw 28.6%
Southampton 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
26.8%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.7%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Charlton Athletic - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitehouse S. (C) 3. Newsham C. 5. N'Dow E. 23. Lobato L. 6. Pearse G. 16. Muya K. 7. Bradley K. 24. Flannery K. 12. Hutton J. 22. Thestrup A. 11. Fitzgerald L.
22. Stenson F. (G) 23. Collett M. 15. Hack E. 6. Bourne T. 19. Simpson J. 11. Ferguson A. 14. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 10. McAlonie M. 20. Primus A. (C) 7. Brazil E.
Substitutes
14. Barratt Z. 9. Bissell E. 38. Chime J. 19. Finlayson F. 10. Kenney G. 20. McAteer M. 21. Pedersen A. (G) 4. Ross M. 18. Siber G.
4. Akpan A. 12. Edwards M. 5. Goddard A. 3. Mott M. 66. Palmer A. 31. Prout K. (G) 35. Roberts E. 26. Tucker R. 27. Watts I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Thestrup A. ⚽, Fitzgerald L. (A),
45+2', Pearse G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Peplow C. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Hutton J. ⚽,
60', Muya K. ↓, McAteer M. ↑,
60', Fitzgerald L. ↓, Bissell E. ↑,
61', Peplow C. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
61', Bashford M. ↓, Palmer A. ↑,
75', Thestrup A. ↓, Kenney G. ↑,
75', Pearse G. ↓, Siber G. ↑,
82', Ferguson A. 🟨,
83', Primus A. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
83', Ferguson A. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Bourne T. ⚽, Tucker R. (A),
90+6', Bradley K. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4.
Charlton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Southampton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Charlton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 1.5:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).