The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 22.5%
Draw 23.2%
Southampton 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
23.7%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
23.2%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Portsmouth - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gray J. S. (G) 2. Bull J. (C) 5. Coan H. 25. Collins I. 42. Dahou J. 7. Freeland G. 33. Gale J. 11. Hornby M. 22. Primmer T. 8. Rowbotham A. 14. Wilding A.
22. Stenson F. (G) 14. Bashford M. 23. Collett M. 11. Ferguson A. 5. Goddard A. 15. Hack E. 10. McAlonie M. 8. Peplow C. 20. Primus A. (C) 19. Simpson J. 27. Watts I.
Substitutes
56. Erhabor C. (G) 20. Kennedy S. 10. Rutherford E. 28. Sheffield C.
4. Akpan A. 6. Bourne T. 7. Brazil E. 46. Dix-Trujillo S. 3. Mott M. 30. Pettit E. (G) 35. Roberts E. 26. Tucker R. 49. Udebhulu N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', Hack E. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Collins I. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Freeland G. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Ferguson A. ⚽, Collett M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Hack E. ↓, Bourne T. ↑,
52', Collins I. 🟨,
56', 2 - 2, McAlonie M. ⚽, Simpson J. (A),
71', 2 - 3, Simpson J. ⚽,
75', Rowbotham A. ↓, Rutherford E. ↑,
78', 2 - 4, Ferguson A. ⚽,
86', Collett M. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 5, McAlonie M. ⚽, Primus A. (A),
90+7', Primus A. ↓, Udebhulu N. ↑,
90+9', Ferguson A. ↓, Mott M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).
Cheltenham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Southampton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
In this match, Southampton is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).