The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City LFC 57.8%
Draw 22.8%
Charlton Athletic 19.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.3%
23.2%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
17.7%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City LFC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Birmingham City LFC - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Baggaley S. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 6. Cooke S. 21. Turner M. (C) 30. Herron N. 26. Miyagawa A. 8. Naalsund L. 16. Crosthwaite L. 18. McKenna R. 22. Hurtre O. 7. Lee Geum-Min
1. Whitehouse S. (G) 29. Neville A. 5. N'Dow E. 17. Skeels K. (C) 2. Mason E. 16. Korhonen C. 22. van Egmond E. 14. Flannery K. 12. Hutton J. 15. Lockwood K. 6. Davidson L.
Substitutes
14. Amano S. 19. Cornet C. 2. Harris M. 15. Holloway R. 10. Leidhammar W. 4. Rastocle J. 27. Sarri V. 40. Startup K. (G) 1. Thomas L. (G)
9. Azzaro L. 11. Fitzgerald L. 8. Humphrey C. 10. Kenney G. 24. Koivunen A. (G) 23. Lobato L. 21. Pedersen A. (G) 30. Robe L. 25. Waldie L.
Coaches
Merricks A.
Hills K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cooke S. ↓, Leidhammar W. ↑,
47', Miyagawa A. 🟨,
62', van Egmond E. ↓, Kenney G. ↑,
62', Korhonen C. ↓, Fitzgerald L. ↑,
64', Lee Geum-Min ↓, Amano S. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Leidhammar W. ⚽, Crosthwaite L. (A),
71', Lockwood K. ↓, Lobato L. ↑,
82', N'Dow E. ↓, Azzaro L. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th in the WSL (Relegation) and 14th in the Relegation - WSL 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Birmingham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Charlton has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Birmingham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Birmingham for this game.
Confirmed absences for Birmingham: Magill S.
(Maternity leave).
Confirmed absences for Charlton: Boama L.
(Injury)
Cissoko H.
(Ankle Injury)
Johnston G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Newsham C.
(Knee Injury)
Partido P.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:12 (averaging 0.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).