Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.63	3.29	2.81
	2.56	3.22	2.74
	2.6	3.2	2.8
	2.58	3.32	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.45)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
36.9%

Draw
28.7%

Stockport County
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	70%	10%

Charlton Athletic - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Stockport will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 4. Mitchell A. 3. Gillesphey M. 10. Docherty G. (C) 12. Taylor T. 28. Campbell A. 18. Anderson K. 16. Edwards J. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.	34. Addai C. (G) 17. Mingi J. J. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 16. Connolly C. 26. Norwood O. 4. Bate L. (C) 3. Touray I. 11. Powell N. 19. Wootton K. 20. Barry L.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 13. Dixon K. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 11. Leaburn M. 21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 42. Mbick M. 26. Small T.	27. Bailey O. 7. Diamond J. 10. Fevrier J. 18. Fiorini L. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Hughes S. 9. Olaofe I.
Coaches
Jones N.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Barry L. (Pen),
37', Ramsay K. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Campbell A. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
58', Norwood O. 🟨,
59', Horsfall F. 🟨,
61', Pye E. 🟨,
62', Docherty G. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
64', Powell N. ↓, Olaofe I. ↑,
65', Norwood O. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Edmonds-Green R. ⚽,
68', Mingi J. J. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
79', Wootton K. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
79', Barry L. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
88', Horsfall F. 🟨,
90+1', Taylor T. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
90+2', Fiorini L. 🟨,
90+7', Touray I. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
05.10.24	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
01.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Stevenage Borough - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Charlton Athletic - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW
- Stockport County
English League One
05.10.24	Stockport County - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Barnsley - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Stockport County - Leyton Orient	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Stockport County - Everton U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
07.12.22	Stockport County - Charlton Athletic	3:1
26.11.22	Charlton Athletic - Stockport County	2:2

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