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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough 69.9%
Draw 18.6%
Charlton Athletic 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
20.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
19.1%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.2%
6.9%
6.9%
Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Middlesbrough (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.66% – 98.76%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 6 - 75%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 29. Malanda A. 3. Targett M. 18. Morris A. 7. Hackney H. (C) 11. Whittaker M. 8. McGree R. 13. Strelec D. 9. Conway T.
25. Mannion W. (G) 36. Gough K. 15. Coady C. 3. Gillesphey M. 44. Clarke H. 14. Carey S. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 19. Chambers L. 11. Leaburn M. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
16. Browne A. 23. Castledine L. 25. Edmundson G. 14. Gilbert A. 27. Hansen S. 15. Munroe F. 45. Sarmiento J. 20. Sene M. K. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
17. Bell A. 21. Brooks T. (G) 7. Campbell T. 99. Dykes L. 77. Fevrier J. 37. Fullah I. 5. Jones L. 2. Ramsay K. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Hellberg K.
Jones N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Chambers L. 🟨,
45', Gillesphey M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Whittaker M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
57', Strelec D. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
58', Gough K. ↓, Ramsay K. ↑,
58', Kelman C. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
59', Leaburn M. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Coady C. ⚽, Clarke H. (A),
65', Gillesphey M. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
74', McGree R. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
89', Docherty G. ↓, Jones L. ↑,
89', Targett M. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Middlesbrough is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silvera S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Charlton: Burke R.
(Injury)
Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Godden M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Knibbs H.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Kaminski T.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
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Brynn S. (G) 
Malanda A. 
Morris A. 
McGree R. 
Strelec D. 
Conway T. 
Coventry C. 
Hansen S. 
Sarmiento J. 
Sene M. K. 
Bell A. 
Hellberg K. 
Jones N. 
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