Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Watkins R. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	4.50	4.20	1.57	Watch
	4.50	4.10	1.53
	4.75	3.95	1.54	Watch
	4.92	4.40	1.63
	4.84	4.31	1.6	Watch
	4.85	4.00	1.60
	4.61	4.31	1.61	Watch
	4.60	4.30	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↑ (4.06)	4.2 ↑ (3.96)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
19.7%

Draw
22%

Stockport County
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

23.5%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shrewsbury Town - Stockport County Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Gregory C. (G) 6. Stubbs S. (C) 33. Hall O. 23. Lee I. 22. Pendleton B. 4. England I. 21. Gray W. 24. Sousa L. 46. Aiston H. 13. Davison J. 27. Gbode J.	26. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 25. Jobe M. 12. Wilson-Brown T. 30. Ennis E. 8. Camps C. 18. Fiorini L. (C) 20. Adigun J. 28. Gardner C. 22. Mandron M. 14. Edun T.
Substitutes
11. Berkoe K. 1. Brook W. (G) 35. Fallon H. 8. Fletcher I. 2. Hoole L. 30. Thompson-McKenzie J. 7. Turner-Cooke J.	65. Astles J. 42. Bailey J. 41. Cina B. 76. Ilara R. 63. Marshall D. 31. Mingi J. J. 17. Rydel R.
Coaches
Cowan G.	McNulty J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Stubbs S. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
63', Camps C. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
63', Edun T. ↓, Ilara R. ↑,
73', Davison J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Adigun J. ⚽, Mandron M. (A),
77', Adigun J. ↓, Astles J. ↑,
77', Mandron M. ↓, Cina B. ↑,
77', Ennis E. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
83', Aiston H. ↓, Thompson-McKenzie J. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Gardner C. ⚽, Fiorini L. (A),
90+2', Pendleton B. ↓, Fallon H. ↑,
90+5', Gray W. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Shrewsbury may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Stockport carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Shrewsbury has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shrewsbury against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Stockport County: 4.28% Shrewsbury: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 22.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Stockport County - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.57%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
03.10.26	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Shrewsbury Town - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Crewe Alexandra - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLTW
- Stockport County
English League One
26.09.26	Stockport County - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Stockport County - Leicester City	3:4 ✺
05.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	0:4 ✺
02.09.26	Luton Town - Stockport County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.01.25	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
01.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Stockport County	0:2
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0

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