Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Chatham Town		Hastings United

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.4
	1.63	3.7	4.6
	1.41	5.09	5.92
	1.63	4.05	4.43	Watch
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.58	4.05	4.56
	1.63	3.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.31)	3.97 ↓ (5.14)	4.72 ↓ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
57.6%

Draw
23%

Hastings United
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

17.7%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

16.7%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chatham Town's form might have worsened.

Hastings United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hastings United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chatham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hastings United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chatham Town - Hastings United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Garlinge K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Sears F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Chatham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chatham is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chatham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Chatham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Horsham - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Chatham Town - Cray Wanderers	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Canvey Island - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Potters Bar Town - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLLL
- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Hastings United	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hastings United - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Cheshunt - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Horsham - Hastings United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Hastings United - Lewes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.10.24	Hastings United - Chatham Town	3:2
16.03.24	Hastings United - Chatham Town	1:1
09.12.23	Chatham Town - Hastings United	1:2

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