Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	5
	1.58	3.91	5.36
	1.58	3.9	5.08
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.55	3.92	5.05
	1.58	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)	3.96 ↑ (3.86)	5.17 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
59.1%

Draw
23.2%

Chatham Town
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

23.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Horsham - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Sparks H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Yila J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Horsham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chatham is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Horsham to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.02.25	Whitehawk - Horsham	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Horsham - Hastings United	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Horsham - Dulwich Hamlet	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Lewes - Horsham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.02.25	Chatham Town - Cray Wanderers	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Canvey Island - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Potters Bar Town - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
07.01.25	Chatham Town - Hashtag United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:0
01.05.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:1 penalties
20.04.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	1:3
12.12.23	Horsham - Chatham Town	2:2
English FA Cup
12.10.13	Horsham - Chatham Town	2:1

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