Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Hastings United		Lewes

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.65	3.4	2.35
	2.71	3.5	2.41
	2.64	3.52	2.35
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.65	3.32	2.32
	2.65	3.4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.34)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	2.36 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
34.8%

Draw
26.7%

Lewes
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hastings United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Hastings United - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Bassett D. (Pen),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hastings won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Hastings could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hastings have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hastings won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Hastings United - Cray Wanderers	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Folkestone Invicta - Hastings United	3:1 ✺
28.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Hastings United - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.01.25	Dover Athletic - Lewes	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Lewes - Bowers & Pitsea	1:1 ✺
21.01.25	Whitehawk - Lewes	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Lewes - Horsham	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Lewes - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.09.24	Lewes - Hastings United	1:1
10.02.24	Hastings United - Lewes	1:3
26.09.23	Lewes - Hastings United	3:1
26.12.22	Hastings United - Lewes	2:1
29.08.22	Lewes - Hastings United	0:0
30.03.13	Lewes - Hastings United	1:2

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