Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 11

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Chatham Town		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.50	3.10
	1.92	3.5	3.15
	1.88	3.82	3.22
	1.93	3.88	3.2	Watch
	1.84	3.7	3.15
	1.9	3.62	3.26
	1.91	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)	3.66 ↓ (3.79)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
47.2%

Draw
24.5%

Leatherhead
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

25%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Leatherhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Chatham Town - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Salami K. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Lyons J. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Ladapo T. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 8th).

Recent results have been tough for Chatham (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Leatherhead have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Leatherhead may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chatham holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Chatham: 6.32% Leatherhead: 3.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Leatherhead	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15
13	Chatham	8	4	0	4	16:13	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.26	Eastbourne Borough - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Chatham Town - Lewes	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Dartford - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Leatherhead
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Leatherhead - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.09.26	Three Bridges - Leatherhead	3:3 ✺
15.09.26	Leatherhead - Whyteleafe	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Aveley - Leatherhead	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Leatherhead - Dulwich Hamlet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTTWL

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