Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Chatham Town		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.40
	1.55	3.95	4.40
	1.56	4.41	4.41
	1.57	4.44	4.41	Watch
	1.54	4.35	4.35
	1.53	4.20	4.76
	1.55	4.00	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	4.19 ↑ (4)	4.45 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chatham Town
58.2%

Draw
21.5%

Lewes
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Chatham Town - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
44', 0 - 1, Walker C. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Walker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, Giles A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Allen B. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Lodovica H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 3.

In recent matches, Chatham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lewes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Chatham is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chatham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chatham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Chatham: 6.32% Lewes: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
13	Chatham	8	4	0	4	16:13	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Chatham Town - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Dartford - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Whitehawk - Chatham Town	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Chatham Town - Three Bridges	3:1 ✺
11.08.26	Chatham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Lewes - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Aveley - Lewes	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Lewes - Whyteleafe	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	St Albans City - Lewes	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Whitehawk - Lewes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.04.26	Chatham Town - Lewes	2:1
22.11.25	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:2
02.11.24	Chatham Town - Lewes	1:1
10.08.24	Lewes - Chatham Town	2:0
17.02.24	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:3
23.09.23	Chatham Town - Lewes	3:0

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