Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday


	Chattanooga Red Wolves		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	2.9	3.3	2.2
	3.16	3.58	2.08
	3.14	3.45	2.09	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.81)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chattanooga Red Wolves
29.6%

Draw
26.5%

North Carolina
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.5%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

North Carolina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-4%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Avilez C. (G) 98. Kraft R. 2. Renteria R. 5. Williams M. 4. Cardona N. 15. Varela W. 8. Ualefi (C) 24. Paoli A. 11. Marsh C. 22. Lombardi A. 17. Gomez O.	31. Thompson 2. Young C. 3. Blanco N. 6. Fernandes G. 24. Garcia D. 44. Sommersall R. 14. Mentzingen R. 15. Maldonado M. 13. Perez L. 9. Anderson O. 19. McLaughlin G. (C)
Substitutes
21. Filipe 14. Hernandez P. 1. Jerez R. (G) 13. Liborio F. 23. Madrid M. 10. Malango M. 20. Mensah R.	7. Arriaga L. 18. Benton D. 22. Flick M. 23. Mariche M. 25. Mulqueen T. (G) 8. Pecka W. 88. Popp P.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chattanooga Red Wolves won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chattanooga Red Wolves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently North Carolina have a series of home games.

North Carolina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Chattanooga Red Wolves won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chattanooga Red Wolves won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
22.07.23	One Knoxville - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3 ✺
15.07.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:2 ✺
08.07.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Charlotte Independence	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLT
- North Carolina FC
USL League One
26.07.23	North Carolina - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	North Carolina - Sunderland	2:4 ✺
USL League One
15.07.23	North Carolina - Forward Madison	2:2 ✺
08.07.23	One Knoxville - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
30.06.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.04.23	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:0
08.10.22	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1
16.07.22	Chattanooga Red Wolves - North Carolina	2:1
09.04.22	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:3
09.10.21	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:3
18.09.21	Chattanooga Red Wolves - North Carolina	3:1
10.08.21	North Carolina - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:4

Chattanooga Red Wolves - North Carolina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide