Match Info

USL League One

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Richmond Kickers		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.15
	2.85	3.35	2.14
	3.15	3.40	2.24
	2.69	3.81	2.3	Watch
	3.10	3.20	2.17
	3.03	3.54	2.19	Watch
	2.90	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.85)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.19 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
31.3%

Draw
26.9%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Chattanooga Red Wolves have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 26. Murana M. 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 3. Anderson H. 2. Barnathan D. 6. Sasankhah A. 32. Bolduc M. 12. O'Malley O. 11. Pannholzer T. 9. Kirkland J.	1. Smith J. (G) 11. Ramos J. 2. Adewole T. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 10. Bentley M. 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 66. Knapp M. 23. Lelin Y. 14. Hernandez P. 7. Hernandez O.
Substitutes
18. Amer A. 23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 10. Seufert N. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 14. Vazquez Z. 13. Wintsch A. (G)	30. Lombardi A. 16. McManus B. 9. Mercer G. 68. Montoya A. (G) 17. Tapia O. 4. Vaughan J. 6. Wessels W.
Coaches
Ownby B.	MacKenzie S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Murana M. 🟨,
2', 0 - 1, Hernandez O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Knapp M. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
62', Sasankhah A. ↓, Seufert N. ↑,
65', Bolduc M. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
65', Pannholzer T. ↓, Freeman T. ↑,
67', Vaughan J. 🟨,
67', Bentley M. ↓, McManus B. ↑,
73', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
76', Kirkland J. ↓, Vazquez Z. ↑,
76', Murana M. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
78', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Wessels W. ↑,
84', McManus B. 🟨,
85', O'Malley O. 🟥,
87', Hernandez O. ↓, Tapia O. ↑,
87', Lelin Y. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Vazquez Z. ⚽, Barnathan D. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1.

Recent form of Richmond Kickers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chattanooga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Richmond Kickers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Last Results with these Odds

Richmond Kickers - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.42%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL League One
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Richmond Kickers - Portland Hearts of Pine	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Union Omaha - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
05.08.26	Richmond Kickers - New York Cosmos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL League One
05.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Boise	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - New York Cosmos	3:3 ✺
19.08.26	Sarasota Paradise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
27.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	5:0
12.07.25	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:2
10.05.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	0:0
19.10.24	Richmond Kickers - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1
13.07.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	3:1
USL Cup
11.05.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	1:0
USL League One
12.08.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Richmond Kickers	3:2

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