Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	North Carolina		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.73	3.57	4.59
	1.51	4.11	5.55	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.51)	3.8 (3.8)	4.93 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
56.9%

Draw
24.3%

Charlotte Independence
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

North Carolina - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Mulqueen T. (G) 27. Washington B. 4. Malou J. 20. Donovan C. (C) 11. Burner P. 8. Pedro Becker 15. Maldonado M. 14. Rafa Mentzingen 13. Perez L. 26. Luckhurst A. 9. Anderson O.	28. Levy M. (G) 2. Ngah F. 4. Spielman N. 5. Romero J. 13. Sorenson A. 7. Alvarez L. 11. Ndiaye B. 6. Ciss O. 17. Dimick C. (C) 15. Jauregui R. 99. Chaney C.
Substitutes
7. Conway E. 16. Da Costa R. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 55. Hodge T. 17. Martin C. 10. Servania J. 44. Sommersall R.	10. Gray N. 80. Jaime C. 26. Marou S. 18. Midence A. 16. Onazi O. 3. Ousmanou P. 12. Romig A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Chaney C. ⚽, Ciss O. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Alvarez L. (Pen),
27', 1 - 2, Anderson O. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
28', Ciss O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luckhurst A. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
65', Jauregui R. 🟨,
69', Ngah F. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
69', Ciss O. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
72', Anderson O. 🟨,
73', Anderson O. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
73', Burner P. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
83', Donovan C. ↓, Hodge T. ↑,
86', Maldonado M. 🟥,
89', Alvarez L. ↓, Gray N. ↑,
89', Jauregui R. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
90+4', Levy M. 🟨,
90+5', Chaney C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently North Carolina have a series of guest games.

Recently Charlotte Ind have a series of home games.

In this match North Carolina is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 38:24 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams North Carolina won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:9 (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
19.04.25	Miami - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	New Mexico United - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Indy Eleven - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	North Carolina - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTW
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
20.04.25	Charlotte Independence - South Georgia Tormenta	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:3 ✺
USL League One
11.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.25	Charlotte Independence - Carolina Core	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
15.04.25	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	1:3
USL League One
05.11.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:1 penalties
30.06.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	2:0
21.05.23	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	2:1
08.04.23	North Carolina - Charlotte Independence	1:1
15.10.22	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	5:1
24.09.22	Charlotte Independence - North Carolina	2:1

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