The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 33.8%
Draw 29.6%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.9%
30.3%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
31.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 4. Bozov N. 50. Golubev A. (C) 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 55. Lystsov V. 61. Malakhov A. 23. Nafikov V. 9. Stefanovich I.
43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 7. Dzhamilov S. 8. Kantaria G. 14. Mashukov I. 23. Mikhaylov D. 53. Moiseev K. 5. Musalov M. 6. Rodin D. 75. Shadrintsev D. 11. Sukhomlinov D. 65. Tolstopyatov N. (C)
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 53. Kotin N. 8. Kul R. 5. Malyarov K. 88. Mironov D. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 11. Porokhov I. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
70. Bober I. 97. Filipovskiy M. 51. Kashintsev T. (G) 10. Kokoev D. 74. Kuchugura D. 15. Nikitin A. 90. Shiltsov K. 12. Shiryaev M. 17. Valiakhmetov E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Stefanovich I. ⚽,
29', Shadrintsev D. ↓, Valiakhmetov E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kornyushin D. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
46', Lystsov V. ↓, Kul R. ↑,
46', Tolstopyatov N. ↓, Bober I. ↑,
46', Dzhamilov S. ↓, Shiryaev M. ↑,
60', Rodin D. 🟨,
65', Moiseev K. ↓, Nikitin A. ↑,
67', Kosogorov A. 🟨,
70', Shiryaev M. 🟨,
71', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malyarov K. ↑,
74', Nafikov V. ↓, Shipunov T. ↑,
74', Mikhaylov D. ↓, Kuchugura D. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Nikitin A. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Mashukov I. (Pen),
1, Gongapshev A. (Pen),
2, Nikitin A. (Pen),
2, Stefanovich I. (Pen),
3, Kuchugura D. (Pen),
3, Malakhov A. (Pen),
4, Bober I. (Pen),
4, Golubev A. (Pen),
5, Sukhomlinov D. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neftekhimik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).