Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Chelmsford City		Redditch United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.77	3.4	4
	1.8	3.55	4.25
	1.78	3.4	4
	1.78	3.8	4.1
	1.78	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.48 ↓ (3.74)	4.09 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
51.4%

Draw
26.3%

Redditch United
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.3%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Chelmsford City - Redditch United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Chelmsford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Redditch is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Redditch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Redditch have a series of home games.

In this match Chelmsford is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English FA Cup
14.11.22	Chelmsford City - Barnet	0:1 ✺
English National League South
12.11.22	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Barnet - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
01.11.22	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTTW
- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Redditch United - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Tamworth - Redditch United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Redditch United - Totton	3:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.22	Redditch United - Basford United	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Redditch United - Barwell	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWL

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