Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.52
	2.8	3.15	2.63
	2.81	2.41	3.29	Watch
	2.68	3.2	2.47
	2.57	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.57)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	2.67 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bath City
34.6%

Draw
30.5%

Chelmsford City
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Bath City - Chelmsford City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Chelmsford (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 2.

Bath is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chelmsford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bath may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bath won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Bath City - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.63%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Wimborne Town - Bath City	2:1 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Chesham United - Bath City	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Bath City - Maidenhead United	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Bath City - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLT
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
06.09.25	Maidenhead United - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Chelmsford City - Farnborough	2:5 ✺
30.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Maidstone United - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.02.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:1
07.09.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:0
16.03.24	Chelmsford City - Bath City	3:1
02.12.23	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:3
04.02.23	Chelmsford City - Bath City	0:2
01.11.22	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1
08.01.22	Chelmsford City - Bath City	1:0

Upcoming Matches