The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chelsea 63.1%
Draw 20.8%
Wolfsburg 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
25.5%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
18.8%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolfsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
7.7%
30.8%
Chelsea - Wolfsburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 42.8% – 80.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Chelsea is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Wolfsburg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Wolfsburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Chelsea is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Chelsea to win the game is with odds 1.48.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.