The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 66.7%
Draw 20.4%
Cheltenham Town 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
24.5%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
19.2%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Plymouth (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 4. Wiredu B. 29. Sorinola M. 19. Boateng M. 23. Ibrahim B. 38. Hatch J. 18. Oseni O. 11. Mumba B. 9. Tolaj L.
41. Diallo M. (G) 40. Walters C. 24. Sherring S. 42. Barber M. 28. Backwell T. 14. Broom R. (C) 3. Harmon G. 38. Tustin H. 30. Willcox F. 16. Martin J. 20. Bickerstaff J.
Substitutes
13. Baker Z. (G) 14. Benarous A. 39. Finn T. 27. Pepple A. 24. Roberts C. 6. Szucs K. 17. Watts C.
9. Angol L. 17. Bennett S. 1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 29. King T. 10. Miller G. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Flynn M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Walters C. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Sorinola M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Boateng M. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
49', Edwards J. 🟨,
55', Tolaj L. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
63', Edwards J. ↓, Benarous A. ↑,
63', Ross M. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
64', Willcox F. ↓, King T. ↑,
64', Sherring S. ↓, Young L. ↑,
68', Tustin H. 🟨,
68', Hatch J. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
73', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
74', Martin J. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
77', Walters C. ↓, Bennett S. ↑,
79', Bennett S. 🟥,
81', Pepple A. (Pen),
84', Wiredu B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 5.
Plymouth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cheltenham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:16. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
United-kingdom
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Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 
Ross M. 
Hatch J. 
Oseni O. 
Tolaj L. 
Pepple A. 
Szucs K. 
Watts C. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
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