Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Cheltenham Town		Scunthorpe United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.45	4.25	7.25
	1.47	4.1	6.6
	1.49	4.41	7.37
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.5	4.45	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	4.25 ↑ (4.16)	6.96 ↑ (6.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
64.1%

Draw
22.3%

Scunthorpe United
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

19.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	7.7%	34.6%

Cheltenham Town - Scunthorpe United Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Scunthorpe will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to League One and 21).

Cheltenham has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Scunthorpe has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cheltenham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Scunthorpe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scunthorpe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Scunthorpe have a series of home games.

In this match Cheltenham is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cheltenham to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
17.10.20	Southend United - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
13.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	1:3 ✺
10.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
English League Two
03.10.20	Leyton Orient - Cheltenham Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
17.10.20	Scunthorpe United - Cambridge United	0:5 ✺
10.10.20	Scunthorpe United - Forest Green Rovers	1:4 ✺
03.10.20	Tranmere Rovers - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.09.20	Scunthorpe United - Manchester City U21	0:4 ✺
English League Two
26.09.20	Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.02.20	Scunthorpe United - Cheltenham Town	1:0
10.08.19	Cheltenham Town - Scunthorpe United	3:1
25.03.14	Cheltenham Town - Scunthorpe United	0:2
05.10.13	Scunthorpe United - Cheltenham Town	2:0

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