The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 35.8%
Draw 27.5%
Crawley Town 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
27.6%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
24.3%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheltenham Town's performance.
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.2%
5.9%
5.9%
Cheltenham Town - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 71.3% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Cheltenham (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 6. Cundy R. 26. Stevenson B. 2. Jude-Boyd A. 8. Young L. 21. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 20. Bickerstaff J. 10. Miller G.
1. Davies H. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 28. Flint J. 7. Forster H. 10. Brown R. 32. Richards T. 26. Williams J. 16. Russell J. 13. McKirdy H. 38. Adeyemo A.
Substitutes
31. Adelakun H. 41. Diallo M. (G) 3. Harmon G. 4. Kinsella L. 16. Martin J. 12. Power D. 15. Taylor T.
4. Bajrami G. 25. Odimayo A. 19. Pereira D. 11. Roles J. 9. Tshimanga K. 42. Vassell T. 27. Watson L.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Lindsey S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Russell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Miller G. ↓, Adelakun H. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Adelakun H. ⚽, Hutchinson I. (A),
69', 2 - 0, Thomas J. ⚽,
73', Thomas J. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
73', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Cundy R. ⚽, Young L. (A),
77', Brown R. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
77', Richards T. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
77', Adeyemo T. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
80', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Power D. ↑,
81', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
89', McKirdy H. 🟨,
90+2', Power D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 18 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
Cheltenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crawley has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
United-kingdom
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Day J. (G) 
Wilson J. (C) 
Tomkinson J. 
Jude-Boyd A. 
Williams J. 
Russell J. 
Kinsella L. 
Bajrami G. 
Pereira D. 
Roles J. 
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