Match Info

League Two - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.15	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.15
	3.35	3.35	2.10	Watch
	3.18	3.64	2.27
	2.98	3.57	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.60	2.19
	3.08	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.40	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.01)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
30.1%

Draw
26.8%

Grimsby Town
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.3%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 4. Tomlinson J. 7. Stevenson B. (C) 19. Evans J. 17. McWilliams S. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.	42. Harrington D. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 2. Kacurri M. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 10. Finch S. 4. Green K. (C) 8. Doyle C. 30. Vernam C. 9. Morgan I.
Substitutes
35. Barber M. 11. Bickerstaff J. 1. Day J. (G) 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 33. Willcox F. 6. Wilson J.	41. Auton S. (G) 28. Cartwright F. 39. Cook A. 12. Foulkes J. 11. Reynolds R. 29. Shelton M. 7. Walker J.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, McCann C. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
28', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Weimann A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vernam C. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
46', Doyle C. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Shelton M. ⚽, Rodgers H. (A),
64', Evans J. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
64', Weimann A. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
69', Finch S. ↓, Cartwright F. ↑,
69', Morgan I. ↓, Reynolds R. ↑,
72', Shipley J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
79', Green K. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Green K. ⚽, Sweeney J. (A),
86', McWilliams S. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
86', Tomlinson J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
90+5', Cotterill S. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Grimsby might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15
11	Grimsby	10	3	4	3	13:11	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.49%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Grimsby Town - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
01.09.26	Cheltenham Town - York City	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Charlton Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWL
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
01.09.26	Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Walsall - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Grimsby Town - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Grimsby Town - Blackpool	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.01.26	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	0:2
27.09.25	Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town	7:1
01.03.25	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	1:1
17.08.24	Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town	3:2
05.04.21	Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town	1:1
13.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town	1:3
26.11.19	Grimsby Town - Cheltenham Town	0:0

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