Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 7

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Galimov Y. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Tyumen		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	3.48	3.04	2.34
	3.43	3.06	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	3.05 ↓ (3.4)	2.29 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
27.5%

Draw
31.1%

Arsenal Tula
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

28.1%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

28.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Tyumen - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tyumen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arsenal will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D.	36. Levashov M. (G) 44. Berdnikov A. 31. Bolshakov K. 13. Kaynov M. 78. Lipovoy D. 64. Semenchuk D. 21. Shevchenko E. 11. Tkachev S. 22. Tsaraev A. 9. Turishchev M. 28. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 32. Kulishev A. 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 1. Savin A. (G) 21. Tikhonov A. 36. Voropaev A.	34. Dmitriev O. 10. Geloyan I. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 20. Khabibov A. 23. Korotkov A. 18. Levin V. 88. Minaev R. 6. Pechenkin N. 8. Popov A. 5. Razdorskikh N. 90. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Storozhuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turishchev M. ↓, Odeyinka M. ↑,
46', Zhilkin G. ↓, Popov A. ↑,
46', Shevchenko E. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
61', Korotaev A. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
61', Tkachuk D. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
68', Lipovoy D. ↓, Geloyan I. ↑,
90+2', Bolshakov K. ↓, Pechenkin N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Tyumen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Arsenal have a series of home games.

Arsenal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Tula - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 45.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
18.08.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Ufa - Tyumen	2:2 ✺
28.07.24	Shinnik - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWL
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
17.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
29.07.24	Rotor - Arsenal Tula	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Arsenal Tula - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.03.24	Arsenal Tula - Tyumen	0:0
04.09.23	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2
27.03.16	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2
07.09.15	Arsenal Tula - Tyumen	1:2

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