Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 9

Date: 9 September 2024, Monday

Location: Rostec Arena (Kaliningrad)

Referee: Kulikov S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Baltika Kaliningrad		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.99	6.64
	1.54	3.94	6.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	3.97 ↑ (3.8)	6.42 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baltika Kaliningrad
61.4%

Draw
23.9%

Tyumen
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.2%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: Baltika Kaliningrad will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Svinov I. (G) 10. Alex Fernandes 16. Andrade K. 59. Avanesyan T. 70. Eldarushev A. 4. Gassama N. 23. Glushkov N. 96. Mokhammad A. 5. Osipov A. (C) 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Saus V.	33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 9. Kuptsov D. 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D.
Substitutes
57. Begun D. 67. Borisko M. (G) 3. Kalachev I. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 7. Malyarov K. 95. Petrov I. 47. Savitskiy I. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D. 66. Tereshchuk N. 22. Titkov N. 21. Zazvonkin I.	97. Goshev E. (G) 2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Talalaev A.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Shavlokhov D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Alex Fernandes (Pen),
44', 2 - 1, Eldarushev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Talalay D. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
57', Osipov A. ↓, Terentjev D. ↑,
58', Khramtsov M. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
64', Alex Fernandes ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
64', Eldarushev A. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
70', Kuptsov D. ↓, Kulishev A. ↑,
76', 🟨,
78', Pryakhin S. ↓, Malyarov K. ↑,
78', Glushkov N. ↓, Begun D. ↑,
80', Sukhoruchenko M. 🟨,
89', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 2.

Baltika is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tyumen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Baltika is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Baltika won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
31.08.24	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Rotor - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sokol Saratov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLTW
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Tyumen - Rotor	0:1 ✺
02.08.24	Ufa - Tyumen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.05.19	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	1:1
17.07.18	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	4:1
12.05.18	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	3:1
08.07.17	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:2
05.11.16	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2
16.07.16	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	1:0
21.04.16	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1

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