Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 11

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)

Referee: Sokolov O. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Tyumen		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.71	3.27	2.13
	3.52	3.24	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.11)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tyumen
26.2%

Draw
29.1%

Rodina Moscow
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

28.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Tyumen - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 11. Karpov D. 20. Kenfak O. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 30. Shavlokhov D. 41. Sukhoruchenko M.	16. Koryakin A. (G) 72. Gordyushenko A. 19. Kane M. 20. Kontsevoy A. 11. Kozhedub S. 55. Krizan M. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 38. Musaev L. 10. Reyna Y. 68. Ryadno M. 7. Yushin A.
Substitutes
2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.	93. Antonov I. 28. Burlakov M. 30. Danilin M. 24. Kleshchenko A. 15. Kochiev K. 89. Maltsev R. 23. Sangare D. (G) 17. Shadrintsev D. 88. Sokol A.
Coaches
Menshchikov I.	Sokolinsky F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kulishev A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Korotaev A. ↓, Savinov A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Reyna Y. ⚽,
51', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
63', Maryanov A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
69', Gordyushenko A. 🟨,
69', Yushin A. ↓, Shadrintsev D. ↑,
69', Ryadno M. ↓, Maltsev R. ↑,
69', Krizan M. ↓, Kochiev K. ↑,
73', Karpov D. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Kontsevoy A. ⚽,
77', Kozhedub S. ↓, Danilin M. ↑,
77', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Burlakov M. ↑,
79', Kulishev A. ↓, Talalay D. ↑,
80', Klenkin D. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Tyumen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rodina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rodina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tyumen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL
- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
15.09.24	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Rodina Moscow - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
26.08.24	Rodina Moscow - Rotor	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
30.04.24	Rodina Moscow - Tyumen	1:1
18.09.23	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	2:2

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