Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Chelyabinsk 2		Akron Tolyatti 2

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.3	2.59
	2.3	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.34)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.55 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk 2
38.4%

Draw
26.3%

Akron Tolyatti 2
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chelyabinsk 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Akron Tolyatti 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Chelyabinsk 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Orlov T. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Blokhin T. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Orlov T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 1, Glukhov E. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chelyabinsk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Chelyabinsk 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akron Togliatti 2	28	13	3	12	55:40	15	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.05.26	Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod - Chelyabinsk 2	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Ural 2	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chelyabinsk 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Izhevsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTWLL
- Akron Tolyatti 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.05.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:5 ✺
03.05.26	Izhevsk - Akron Tolyatti 2	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - KDV Tomsk	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Orenburg-2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
10.08.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	2:0
04.05.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Chelyabinsk 2	6:0

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