Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Shuangliu Sports Center (Chengdu)


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Guangzhou City

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.5
	1.42	4.4	7
	1.45	4.3	6.4
	1.51	4.25	6.67
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.39	4.65	7.4
	1.45	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.28 ↑ (4.12)	6.73 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
64.3%

Draw
21.8%

Guangzhou City
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.5%	0%	35.5%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Guangzhou City Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 20 - 64.5%). Guangzhou City will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Chengdu Rongcheng in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guangzhou City is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Chengdu Rongcheng have a series of home games.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Chengdu Rongcheng to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chengdu Rongcheng won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
21.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Hebei CFFC	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	3:2 ✺
07.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
03.11.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Hebei CFFC	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWTW
- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
21.11.22	Guangzhou City - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guangzhou City	0:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.22	Guangzhou City - Meizhou Hakka	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
03.11.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Guangzhou City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
27.08.22	Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2
Chinese FA Cup
14.10.21	Guangzhou City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 penalties

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