Match Info

Super League - Round 15

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Referee: Danao S. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Shandong Taishan

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.3	Watch
	2	3.7	3.1
	2	3.85	3.1	Watch
	2.04	3.98	3.36
	2	3.87	3.27	Watch
	2	3.7	3.1
	2.04	3.92	3.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 (2)	3.85 ↓ (3.91)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
46.7%

Draw
24.3%

Shandong Taishan
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

23.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chengdu Rongcheng have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Shandong Taishan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Shandong Taishan will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 4. He Yiran 18. Han Pengfei 28. Sorokin E. 2. Hu H. 5. Matheus Jussa 16. Yang Ming-Yang 11. Wellington Silva 10. Romulo 7. Wei Shihao (C) 27. Abduweli Behram	14. Wang Dalei (C) 7. Xie Wenneng 35. Huang Zhengyu 5. Zheng Zheng 11. Liu Yang 37. Chen Zeshi 38. Memet Imran 8. Guilherme Madruga 9. Cryzan 19. Zeca 10. Qazaishvili V.
Substitutes
19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 23. Liao Lisheng 58. Liao Rongxiang 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 15. Ran Weifeng (G) 24. Tang Chuang 17. Wang Dongsheng 20. Wang Ziming	29. Chen Pu 24. Duan Liuyu 21. Liu Binbin 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 22. Li Y. 17. Merkies R. 3. Peng Xiao 42. Peng Y. 15. Shi Songchen 6. Wang Tong 2. Yang Ruiqi 34. Yin Jiaxi
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Su Maozhen

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Matheus Jussa ⚽, Romulo (A),
40', Chen Zeshi 🟨,
43', Cryzan ↓, Chen Pu ↑,
43', Abduweli Behram 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abduweli Behram ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
46', Zeca ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
46', Memet Imran ↓, Li Y. ↑,
64', Zheng Zheng ↓, Peng Xiao ↑,
64', Chen Zeshi ↓, Wang Tong ↑,
77', Xie Wenneng ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
79', Matheus Jussa ↓, Liao Lisheng ↑,
82', He Yiran ↓, Jojo A. C. ↑,
88', Han Pengfei ↓, Dong Y. ↑,
89', Wei Shihao ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
90', Guilherme Madruga 🟨,
90', Yang Ming-Yang 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Merkies R. 🟨,
90+8', Wang Ziming ↓, Tang Chuang ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 3.

Chengdu Rongcheng has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shandong Taishan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chengdu Rongcheng is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chengdu Rongcheng: Felipe Silva (Injury)

There are questionable in Chengdu Rongcheng: Li Y. (Injury) Romulo (Injury)

There are questionable in Shandong Taishan: Alvaro P. (Injury) Gao Zhunyi (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
6	Shandong Taishan	26	13	4	9	46:43	3	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
23.05.26	Dalian Young Boy - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Liaoning Tieren - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW
- Shandong Taishan
Chinese Super League
24.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan Three Towns	3:3 ✺
20.05.26	Zhejiang Professional - Shandong Taishan	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Shandong Taishan	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.25	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:3
Chinese Super League
02.04.25	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:3
Chinese FA Cup
24.09.24	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0
Chinese Super League
17.08.24	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:0
26.04.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shandong Taishan	0:1
08.08.23	Shandong Taishan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1

Upcoming Matches