Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Yuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou City		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.8
	4.6	3.4	1.78
	3.9	3.65	1.82
	4.9	3.63	1.76
	4.2	3.4	1.78
	4.25	3.7	1.77
	3.9	3.65	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (5.95)	3.62 ↓ (3.97)	1.79 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
22%

Draw
25.8%

Meizhou Hakka
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

23.4%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

23.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou City's performance.

Meizhou Hakka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Meizhou Hakka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Meizhou Hakka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Guangzhou City - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meizhou Hakka: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 9).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Meizhou Hakka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
08.11.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou City	2:1 ✺
03.11.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Guangzhou City	4:1 ✺
29.10.22	Hebei CFFC - Guangzhou City	0:4 ✺
25.10.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou City	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Guangzhou City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 LLWTT
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Super League
08.11.22	Meizhou Hakka - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:2 ✺
04.11.22	Wuhan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Changchun Yatai - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
24.10.22	Shanghai Port - Meizhou Hakka	7:0 ✺
09.10.22	Guangzhou Evergrande - Meizhou Hakka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Guangzhou City	2:1

Upcoming Matches