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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou City 12.8%
Draw 20.6%
Beijing Guoan 66.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.2%
21%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
22.5%
12.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-52.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangzhou City's form might have worsened.
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+52.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+56.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangzhou City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-53.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Guangzhou City - Beijing Guoan Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou City: 26.9% – 73.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 7).
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Beijing Guoan has the most likely position - 2 (100%), has project points - 70, has currently - 70, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, has not chance of win league.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 1.
Recent matches Guangzhou City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Beijing Guoan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Guangzhou City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guangzhou City is certain favorite.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-41.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.
Watch
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