Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 27 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Referee: Shen Y. (Chn)


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Wuhan

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	23	Watch
	1.14	7.75	14.5
	1.14	7	15
	1.14	7	16
	1.13	8.35	22.12
	1.12	6.5	17
	1.13	7.8	18
	1.14	7.2	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.34)	7.39 ↑ (4.8)	17.83 ↑ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
82.1%

Draw
12.6%

Wuhan
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

19.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

18.4%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chengdu Rongcheng's performance.

Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chengdu Rongcheng that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Predictions

Users Predictions: Chengdu Rongcheng will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Chengdu Rongcheng is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Wuhan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chengdu Rongcheng could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
23.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Meizhou Hakka	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.12.22	Zhejiang Professional - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	0:0 ✺
05.12.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWTTW
- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
23.12.22	Wuhan - Dalian Pro	3:0 ✺
14.12.22	Wuhan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3 ✺
09.12.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Wuhan	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Wuhan - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
30.11.22	Shenzhen - Wuhan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.10.22	Wuhan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1

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