Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.00	6.25	Watch
	1.40	4.75	6.00
	1.30	5.25	8.00	Watch
	1.43	5.00	7.54
	1.33	5.37	7.63	Watch
	1.41	4.65	7.45
	1.44	4.69	7.11	Watch
	1.42	5.20	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.99 ↓ (5.1)	7.02 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
67.7%

Draw
18.9%

Wuhan Three Towns
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.4%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

17%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chengdu Rongcheng, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Liu Dianzuo (C) 4. He Yiran 18. Han Pengfei 28. Sorokin E. 2. Hu H. 16. Yang Ming-Yang 23. Liao Lisheng 11. Wellington Silva 10. Romulo 7. Wei Shihao 9. Felipe Silva	22. Fang Jingqi (C) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 7. Gustavo Sauer 12. Liao Chengjian 20. Adriano Firmino 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Cadiz J. 10. Bevis K.
Substitutes
27. Abduweli Behram 19. Dong Y. 39. Gan Chao 29. Iminqari M. 1. Jian Tao (G) 3. Jojo A. C. 58. Liao Rongxiang 22. Li Y. 5. Matheus Jussa 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 17. Wang Dongsheng 20. Wang Ziming	31. Guo Jiayu (G) 50. Leautey A. 5. Li Shenyuan 19. Liu Yiming 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 37. Wang Kang 21. Xiong J. 18. Zhang Xiaobin 9. Zheng Haoqian 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao
Coaches
Aloisi J.	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Wei Shihao 🟨,
40', Ming Tian 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Liao Lisheng ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Li Ang ⚽, Gustavo Sauer (A),
66', Liao Chengjian ↓, Zhang Xiaobin ↑,
67', Wang Jinxian ↓, Leautey A. ↑,
71', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑,
80', Han Pengfei ↓, Li Y. ↑,
80', Hu H. ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
80', He Yiran ↓, Wang Dongsheng ↑,
84', Li Ang 🟨,
85', Adriano Firmino ↓, Xiong J. ↑,
88', Li Ang ↓, Zheng Kaimu ↑,
88', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Liu Yiming ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Wei Shihao (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wuhan Three Towns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Yamkam M. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chengdu Rongcheng won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chengdu Rongcheng won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	26	15	7	4	51:30	21	52
15	Wuhan Three Towns	26	5	11	10	39:46	-7	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
26.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLTTT
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
25.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Taishan	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Dalian Young Boy - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
27.06.26	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:1
29.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2
22.02.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns	1:0
20.07.24	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1
01.05.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns	2:2
19.08.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1
19.05.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:3

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