Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Wuhan Sports Center Stadium (Wuhan)


	Wuhan		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.62	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.45	2.5
	2.5	3.35	2.6
	2.49	3.61	2.73
	2.45	3.2	2.62
	2.49	3.48	2.63
	2.55	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.22)	3.41 ↓ (3.59)	2.61 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan
37%

Draw
27.3%

Changchun Yatai
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.7%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.2%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Wuhan - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wuhan will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Wuhan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Changchun Yatai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Wuhan have a series of guest games.

Changchun Yatai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
30.11.22	Shenzhen - Wuhan	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Shandong Taishan - Wuhan	5:0 ✺
22.11.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.11.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuhan	3:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
13.11.22	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
30.11.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
26.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	0:2 ✺
21.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Hebei CFFC	4:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Jinan Xingzhou - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.11.22	Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
24.09.22	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan	2:0
31.07.21	Wuhan - Changchun Yatai	2:2
04.05.21	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan	0:0
10.08.13	Wuhan - Changchun Yatai	1:2
13.04.13	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan	1:1

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