The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cherepovets 27.8%
Draw 28.3%
Torpedo Vladimir 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
27%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
26.1%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cherepovets's performance.
Torpedo Vladimir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Vladimir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cherepovets that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Vladimir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cherepovets - Torpedo Vladimir Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pyrkin A. (G) 77. Andreev M. 99. Antsiferov I. 15. Berezov D. 27. Gadzhiev D. 17. Kopylov S. 11. Kulkov K. 18. Maklasov V. 5. Pichugin N. 47. Serebryakov D. 14. Yamlikhanov R.
16. Kulagin A. (G) 4. Chernenko S. 42. Davidenko K. 17. Glinskiy D. 7. Kolganov N. 87. Popov K. 3. Romanenkov N. 72. Safronov D. 37. Sirotov V. 10. Sychev Y. 74. Vyaznikov A.
Substitutes
10. Balashov A. 16. Dedelev M. (G) 37. Ermolaev N. 2. Karamyshev M. 4. Kovalevsky D. 8. Krinkin O. 9. Makeev V. 96. Maltsev R. 21. Popov D. 20. Snegirov E. 13. Zykov M. (G)
27. Arslanov D. 20. Kostryukov V. 9. Kuzmichev K. 82. Lazarev D. 1. Mikheev R. (G) 45. Utkin S. 11. Zharov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Kulkov K. ⚽,
13', Romanenkov N. 🟨,
18', Antsiferov I. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Chernenko S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Glinskiy D. 🟨,
49', Utkin S. 🟥,
52', Berezov D. ↓, Ermolaev N. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Antsiferov I. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Antsiferov I. ⚽,
63', Sychev Y. ↓, Zharov I. ↑,
64', Sirotov V. ↓, Kostryukov V. ↑,
64', Romanenkov N. ↓, Lazarev D. ↑,
65', Ermolaev N. ↓, Snegirov E. ↑,
77', Andreev M. ↓, Balashov A. ↑,
78', Pichugin N. ↓, Krinkin O. ↑,
83', Chernenko S. 🟨,
90+3', Lazarev D. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7).
Recent performances by Cherepovets have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Torpedo Vladimir is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Torpedo Vladimir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Torpedo Vladimir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cherepovets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Pyrkin A. (G) 
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