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Current Win Probability
Levski Sofia 48.2%
Draw 28.9%
CSKA Sofia 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
30.5%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
29.3%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levski Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levski Sofia's performance.
CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levski Sofia than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levski Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
12.5%
6.2%
Levski Sofia - CSKA Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Levski will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Levski: 62.2% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - CSKA Sofia (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - CSKA Sofia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
TQ, OT - Levski (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Levski (votes: 2 - 40%). CSKA Sofia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Vutsov S. (G) 21. Neves A. 50. Dimitrov K. (C) 4. Makoun C. 3. Maicon 11. Oko-Flex A. 18. Trdin G. 8. Grujic M. 17. Everton Bala 35. Serginho 7. Reinaldo
21. Lapoukhov F. (G) 14. Ivanov T. (C) 5. Gbamin J. 4. Almeida D. 2. Pastor 99. Eto'o J. 7. Ebong M. 8. Sensi S. 17. Martino A. 10. Zwarts J. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 2. Hevertton S. 55. Hristov P. 27. Kusso D. 10. Mitkov A. 19. Moubarik M. 9. Perea J. 77. Raychev A. 22. Soula M. 28. Stoyanchov S. 1. Vladimirov O. (G)
11. Brahimi M. 372. Cotter B. 25. Evtimov D. (G) 9. Godoy L. 67. Itu C. 6. Jordao B. 38. Leo Pereira 30. Panayotov P. 32. Rodriguez F. 54. Solet I. 19. Yordanov A.
Coaches
Velazquez J.
Yanev H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Grujic M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽,
45+1', Almeida D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
49', 1 - 1, Zwarts J. ⚽,
57', Grujic M. ↓, Moubarik M. ↑,
57', Maicon ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Sensi S. ⚽,
68', Makoun C. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Zwarts J. ⚽,
81', Dimitrov K. 🟥,
81', Perea J. 🟨,
81', Pastor 🟨,
82', Martino A. 🟨,
82', Ebong M. 🟥,
84', Gbamin J. 🟨,
84', Reinaldo ↓, Soula M. ↑,
84', Oko-Flex A. ↓, Mitkov A. ↑,
85', Almeida D. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
85', Zwarts J. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
88', Eto'o J. ↓, Jordao B. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Neves A. (Own goal),
90+4', 2 - 4, Everton Bala (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Sensi S. ↓, Yordanov A. ↑,
90+6', Pittas I. ↓, Itu C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levski won 2.
Levski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
CSKA Sofia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Levski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Levski could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levski won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Levski won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.8).
Bulgaria
Croatia
Slovenia
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Vutsov S. (G) 
Neves A. 
Makoun C. 
Maicon 
Oko-Flex A. 
Trdin G. 
Grujic M. 
Lapoukhov F. (G) 
Gbamin J. 
Eto'o J. 
Sensi S. 
Martino A. 
Zwarts J. 
Pittas I. 
Centelles A. 
Kusso D. 
Moubarik M. 
Perea J. 
Soula M. 
Itu C. 
Solet I. 
