Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Minev V. (Bul)


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.15	3.13	2.46
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	3.16	3.16	2.33
	2.95	3.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.52)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	2.45 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
31.8%

Draw
30%

Krumovgrad
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirin Blagoevgrad's form might have worsened.

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krumovgrad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pirin Blagoevgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krumovgrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	85.7%	14.3%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalov M. (G) 8. Semeniv D. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 29. Bachev M. S. 6. Yordanov A. 4. Abou A. 73. Benguzov V. 11. Tasev I. 20. Souda A. 17. Tyutyukov B. 19. Komano H.	1. Georgiev Y. (G) 91. Velev V. 5. Simic M. 3. Pehlivanov K. 11. Georgiev A. 44. Katsarov B. (C) 10. Yusein S. 14. Miljanovic D. 13. Diego Raposo 80. Vasilev K. 9. Kolev A.
Substitutes
33. Aleksandrov S. 5. Bodurov N. 16. Georgiev M. 1. Kirev M. (G) 10. Kondrakov D. 9. Kostov S. 7. Medved V. 83. Popadiyn H. 30. Todorov L.	2. Ali D. 22. Bonev B. 6. Granado J. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 30. Pehlivanov Z. 88. Renan Areias 72. Senhadji R. 20. Yashar D. 77. Yusein O.
Coaches
Trenchev I.	Miljanovic N.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).

Pirin Blagoevgrad is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krumovgrad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Krumovgrad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.09.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Levski Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
25.08.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.09.23	Krumovgrad - Levski Sofia	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Botev Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	1:2 ✺
14.08.23	Krumovgrad - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 TLWWW

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Krumovgrad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide