Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Slavia Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.65	3	2.7	Watch
	2.76	3.1	2.79
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	2.64	3.14	2.74	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
33.8%

Draw
30.3%

Slavia Sofia
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pirin Blagoevgrad's performance.

Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slavia Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pirin Blagoevgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	17.9%	28.2%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Slavia Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 21 - 53.8%). Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 11 - 28.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirin Blagoevgrad: 38.2% – 69.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalov M. (G) 8. Semeniv D. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 29. Bachev M. S. 6. Yordanov A. 73. Benguzov V. 17. Tyutyukov B. 4. Abou A. 20. Souda A. 11. Tasev I. 19. Komano H.	21. Vutsov S. (G) 3. Tombak E. 6. Georgiev M. 4. Genev V. 37. Kerchev V. 27. Martinov E. 17. Dost E. 14. Raychev R. 73. Minchev I. 93. Keita S. 33. Ivanov G. (C)
Substitutes
5. Bodurov N. 16. Georgiev M. 1. Kirev M. (G) 10. Kondrakov D. 9. Kostov S. 18. Minkov V. 83. Popadiyn H. 30. Todorov L. 27. Varbanov G.	23. Aleksandrov D. 11. Dobrev K. 5. Jelenkovic V. 12. Krastev N. (G) 10. Nikolov V. 9. Sorakov M. 8. Stoev E. 71. Stoyanov K. 88. Tasev T.
Coaches
Trenchev I.	Kolev I.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0.

Recent matches Pirin Blagoevgrad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Slavia Sofia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Slavia Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Slavia Sofia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.09.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
18.09.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Levski Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
01.09.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLL
- Slavia Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.09.23	Slavia Sofia - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.02.23	Slavia Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0
30.07.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:2
14.03.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Slavia Sofia	0:0
Bulgarian Cup
27.10.21	Slavia Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.10.21	Slavia Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
27.09.18	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Slavia Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
28.04.18	Slavia Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1

Upcoming Matches