The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ludogorets Razgrad 49.7%
Draw 24.9%
Cherno More Varna 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
20.3%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
19.1%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludogorets Razgrad's form might have worsened.
Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Varna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludogorets Razgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ludogorets Razgrad - Cherno More Varna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 2. Andersson J. 11. Caio Vidal 77. Erick Marcus 8. Hadziahmetovic A. 15. Kurtulus E. 44. Rekik O. 12. Rwan Cruz 17. Son (C) 14. Stanic P. 6. Zhelizko I.
1. Hristov D. (G) 9. Barandas M. 7. Beyhan B. 6. Bounaas I. 5. Joao Bandaro 3. Kerchev V. 11. Padilla J. 10. Sidney C. 8. Todorov A. 4. Tombak E. 2. Ventsislavov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Erick Marcus ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Erick Marcus ⚽,
43', 4 - 0, Erick Marcus ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 5 - 0, Chochev I. ⚽,
84', 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 2.
Ludogorets has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Cherno More have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ludogorets could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ludogorets has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:20 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ludogorets against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).
Watch
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Bonmann H. (G) 
Andersson J. 
Caio Vidal 
Hadziahmetovic A. 
Rekik O. 
Son (C) 
Stanic P. 
Zhelizko I. 
Hristov D. (G) 
Barandas M. 
Bounaas I. 
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