Match Info

efbet League - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Ticha (Varna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Cherno More Varna		Slavia Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.45	5.3
	1.68	3.51	5.66
	1.68	3.47	5.53	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.66	3.5	5.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	5.41 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Varna
56%

Draw
26.9%

Slavia Sofia
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cherno More Varna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: Cherno More Varna will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cherno More Varna will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 50. Tombak E. 3. Atanasov Z. 28. Drobarov V. 15. Martin D. 71. Panayotov V. (C) 10. Chandarov A. 16. Calcan A. 23. Tonev D. 77. Sidney C. 19. Lazarov G.	12. Ntumba L. (G) 87. Diego 4. Savic N. 15. Malembana D. 24. Marin L. 11. Dosso M. 73. Minchev I. (C) 77. Stoev E. 13. Stefanov I. 18. Balov K. 10. Guermouche Y.
Substitutes
8. Donchev A. 26. Joao Bandaro 22. Kostadinov N. 70. Manasiev A. (G) 9. Padilla J. 2. Panov T. 4. Stefanov R. 24. Teles D. 39. Zlatev N.	99. Andonov I. (G) 7. Gogev E. 6. Ivanov L. 17. Kazaldzhiev V. 22. Lazarov M. 14. Miletic M. 1. Petkov G. (G) 5. Shopov G. 8. Yotov V.
Coaches
Iliev I.	Dostanic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Stefanov I. ⚽, Guermouche Y. (A),
42', Drobarov V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Calcan A. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
53', Stefanov I. 🟨,
54', Tombak E. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Guermouche Y. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Balov K. ↓, Kazaldzhiev V. ↑,
63', Malembana D. 🟨,
66', Lazarov G. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
66', Tonev D. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Panayotov V. ⚽, Sidney C. (A),
76', Minchev I. ↓, Shopov G. ↑,
76', Guermouche Y. ↓, Ivanov L. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Stoev E. ⚽,
83', Tombak E. ↓, Panov T. ↑,
83', Panayotov V. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
86', Stoev E. ↓, Gogev E. ↑,
86', Stefanov I. ↓, Miletic M. ↑,
90+3', Shopov G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Cherno More is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Cherno More: 0.23% Slavia Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9:8	1	11
13	Cherno More	10	1	3	6	11:20	-9	6

Last Results with these Odds

Cherno More Varna - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.03.26	Levski Sofia - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:3 ✺
04.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Cherno More Varna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWTL
- Slavia Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.03.26	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Slavia Sofia - Spartak Varna	4:0 ✺
03.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Slavia Sofia	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.10.25	Slavia Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0
29.03.25	Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia	1:1
Bulgarian Cup
14.12.24	Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.10.24	Slavia Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:0
09.12.23	Cherno More Varna - Slavia Sofia	3:0
12.08.23	Slavia Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:5
06.11.22	Slavia Sofia - Cherno More Varna	1:0

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