Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Chernomorets Burgas		Fratria

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.15	2.92
	2.38	3.05	2.88
	1.75	3.33	4.66	Watch
	2.3	3.04	2.96
	2.37	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.74)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	3.26 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorets Burgas
41.9%

Draw
29.8%

Fratria
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

28.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

27.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorets Burgas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chernomorets Burgas's form might have worsened.

Fratria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fratria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fratria than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fratria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chernomorets Burgas - Fratria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fratria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kaishev M. (G) 4. Avramov D. 11. Dobrev K. 3. Drame Y. 21. Esuma F. 5. Genchev P. 10. Kostadinov D. 27. Mitev H. 9. Petkov Z. 66. Staykov G. 17. Tsonev M.	33. Mostovei I. (G) 3. Angelov A. 10. Druiventak X. 13. Isuf A. 21. Kapitanov I. 15. Marinov M. 11. Mitev V. 8. Rumenov R. 96. Sadetinov D. 6. Tsvetkov A. 98. Yoskov V.
Substitutes
99. Chavorski T. 6. Georgiev P. 7. Hyusein H. 33. Kostenski R. 29. Krastev K. 19. Pavlov D. 15. Slavov S. 1. Todorov D. (G)	7. Angelov A. 1. Ganev G. (G) 71. Ibryam I. 9. Kadir D. 70. Lutumba-Pitah D. 20. Marinov M. 19. Pergelov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Gradski stadion.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Promotion: )).

Chernomorets Burgas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fratria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fratria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chernomorets Burgas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Sevlievo	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Chernomorets Burgas	3:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
30.10.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTL
- FC Fratria
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
21.11.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Fratria	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Fratria - Belasitsa Petrich	5:0 ✺
10.11.25	Dunav Ruse - Fratria	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Fratria - Vihren Sandanski	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Fratria - Arda Kardzhali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.07.25	Fratria - Chernomorets Burgas	2:1

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