Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov (Svoge)


	Sportist Svoge		Chernomorets Burgas

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.95	1.42
	5.2	3.64	1.48
	6.04	3.84	1.48
	2.66	3.33	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (2.35)	3.69 ↑ (3.1)	1.67 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportist Svoge
18.4%

Draw
25.4%

Chernomorets Burgas
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportist Svoge's form might have worsened.

Chernomorets Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernomorets Burgas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportist Svoge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Burgas than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernomorets Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chernomorets Burgas will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets Burgas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Debarliev P. (G) 19. Balakov M. 21. Bastunov A. 23. Bua 99. Dimitrov V. 16. Georgiev S. 18. Gogov V. 73. Monteiro K. 88. Samba L. 22. Todorov A. 11. Yuri Sousa	12. Kaishev M. (G) 4. Avramov D. 13. Correia 11. Dobrev K. 3. Drame Y. 5. Genchev P. 10. Kostadinov D. 27. Mitev H. 9. Petkov Z. 66. Staykov G. 87. Traykov S.
Substitutes
7. Atanasov G. 27. Dobrev T. 9. Gelin N. 87. Georgiev I. 14. Ivanov H. 5. Kolev M. 17. Slavkov S. 1. Tanev I. (G) 10. Velinov Y.	21. Esuma F. 6. Georgiev P. 7. Hyusein H. 29. Krastev K. 19. Pavlov D. 15. Slavov S. 1. Todorov D. (G) 17. Tsonev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Svoge is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chernomorets Burgas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chernomorets Burgas is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svoge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Svoge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Sportist Svoge	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLLW
- Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.11.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Marek Dupnitsa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Chernomorets Burgas	3:3 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
30.10.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:3 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.10.25	Chernomorets Burgas - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ludogorets II - Chernomorets Burgas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.05.24	Sportist Svoge - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0
03.11.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Sportist Svoge	1:2

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