Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Samara Arena (Samara)

Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2


	Akron Tolyatti		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.69	4.07
	1.94	3.78	3.98	Watch
	1.81	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	3.93 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akron Tolyatti
49.9%

Draw
26.1%

Nizhny Novgorod
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Akron Tolyatti - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 50%). Nizhny Novgorod (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Akron Tolyatti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Gudiev V. (G) 2. Rocha Y. 24. Nedelcearu I. 19. Bokoev M. 21. Fernandez R. 80. Khosonov K. 5. Djurasovic A. 15. Loncar S. 71. Pestryakov D. 22. Dzyuba A. (C) 91. Boldyrev M.	30. Medvedev N. (C) 70. Shnaptsev M. 24. Farina E. 25. Karic S. 3. Koledin Y. 77. Ivlev A. 6. Sarfo A. 19. Ermakov N. 20. Boselli J. 27. Grulev V. 88. Lesovoy D.
Substitutes
86. Agapov I. 17. Bakaev S. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 23. Bistrovic K. 35. Djakovac I. 26. Escoval R. 6. Kuzmin M. 8. Maradishvili K. 89. Popenkov D. 96. Postrigan V. (G) 7. Sevikyan E. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G)	2. Aleksandrov V. 23. Castillo J. 21. Cephas R. 78. Kalinski N. 51. Koshkin E. (G) 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 8. Maiga M. 40. Olusegun O. 32. Pigas V. 29. Ticic L.
Coaches
Tedeev Z.	Shpilevski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Lesovoy D. ⚽,
33', Boldyrev M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Boselli J. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Djurasovic A. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
46', Loncar S. ↓, Djakovac I. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Dzyuba A. ⚽, Bistrovic K. (A),
58', Lesovoy D. ↓, Ticic L. ↑,
65', Ermakov N. ↓, Olusegun O. ↑,
75', Rocha Y. ↓, Sevikyan E. ↑,
80', Boselli J. ↓, Aleksandrov V. ↑,
84', Boldyrev M. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
90+4', Ivlev A. 🟨,
90+7', Medvedev N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.

Akron is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pari NN has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Akron is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
21.11.25	Akron Tolyatti - Sochi	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Rostov - Akron Tolyatti	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Akron Tolyatti - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
21.10.25	CSKA Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 WWWTL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
23.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	CSKA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.25	Rostov - Nizhny Novgorod	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
01.03.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	2:1
05.10.24	Akron Tolyatti - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2
Club Friendly
25.01.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	1:1
Russian FNL
24.03.21	Akron Tolyatti - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0
27.09.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Akron Tolyatti	3:0

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