The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 26.7%
Draw 27.1%
Baltika 2 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
27%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
26.1%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chertanovo's performance.
Baltika 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baltika 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertanovo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baltika 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chertanovo - Baltika 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Pereverzev M. (G) 15. Agafontsev V. 52. Gaynullin R. 42. Khomyakov A. 21. Kondrashov D. 27. Mikadze G. 45. Nikiema Y. 2. Polyakov I. 91. Pomalyuk A. 17. Semenov S. 11. Svetov Z.
94. Malyshev V. I. (G) 75. Babchuk A. 43. Bokov N. 74. Cherkasov D. 64. Gasanbekov O. 40. Nikitin D. 97. Popushoy A. 42. Pospelov V. 66. Turishchev D. 54. Vshivkov V. 86. Yashkov A.
Substitutes
97. Borisov G. 5. Evdachev Z. 26. Korbut V. 18. Korunov D. 46. Lapin D. 16. Maniac D. (G) 99. Melnikov M. 1. Nechkin K. (G) 44. Rusyaev I. 71. Safronov G. 7. Yakimenko M.
76. Angutaev R. 84. Dvornikov K. 49. Romashin M. 55. Sagalbaev A. 92. Salikhov I. 36. Tsitsilin A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Mikadze G. ⚽,
29', Khomyakov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Svetov Z. ↓, Yakimenko M. ↑,
46', Agafontsev V. ↓, Rusyaev I. ↑,
59', Pomalyuk A. 🟨,
61', Mikadze G. 🟨,
62', Yashkov A. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Nikitin D. ⚽,
81', Pomalyuk A. ↓, Melnikov M. ↑,
87', Semenov S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 2.
Recent performances by Chertanovo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Baltika 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Baltika 2 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Pereverzev M. (G) 
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