Match Info

Date: 9 October 2020, Friday


	Chertanovo		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.85
	3.35	3.35	1.89	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	4.18	3.7	1.86
	3.75	3.4	1.88	Watch
	4.05	3.72	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.94)	3.51 ↑ (3.32)	1.85 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
23.9%

Draw
26.2%

Krasnodar 2
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

27.9%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

20.4%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chertanovo's form might have worsened.

Krasnodar 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krasnodar 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Chertanovo will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Krasnodar 2 will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar 2: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Chertanovo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Krasnodar 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chertanovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Krasnodar 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chertanovo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Chertanovo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
04.10.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.20	Leningradets - Chertanovo	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
27.09.20	Chertanovo - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Shinnik - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTTL
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
04.10.20	Krasnodar 2 - Nizhny Novgorod	2:3 ✺
27.09.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Krasnodar 2	0:1 ✺
23.09.20	Krasnodar 2 - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Krasnodar 2 - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.03.20	Krasnodar 2 - Chertanovo	1:2
14.08.19	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	1:2
24.11.18	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	3:0
12.08.18	Krasnodar 2 - Chertanovo	3:1
Russian FNL Cup
17.02.16	Chertanovo - Krasnodar 2	0:1

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