Match Info

Date: 19 September 2020, Saturday


	Chertanovo		Fakel

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.65	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3	2.23
	3.31	3.14	2.36
	3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.24	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	2.3 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
30.7%

Draw
29.2%

Fakel
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

20.1%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chertanovo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chertanovo - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Chertanovo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Chertanovo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL
13.09.20	Volgar Astrakhan - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
09.09.20	Chertanovo - Krylya Sovetov	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Chertanovo - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:1 ✺
30.08.20	Chertanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
13.09.20	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
05.09.20	Fakel - Orenburg	0:2 ✺
31.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.11.19	Chertanovo - Fakel	4:0
20.07.19	Fakel - Chertanovo	0:0
11.05.19	Fakel - Chertanovo	1:1
24.10.18	Chertanovo - Fakel	2:1
Russian FNL Cup
19.02.18	Fakel - Chertanovo	1:2 penalties
24.02.17	Chertanovo - Fakel	0:1
15.02.16	Fakel - Chertanovo	4:0

Upcoming Matches